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1 Chapter 2EXHIBIT 2.1 Current Top Risks According to Three Surveys EXHIBIT 2.2 Summary of Risk Assessment Methods Used According to the HDR/KPM...

2 Chapter 4EXHIBIT 4.1 Simple Substitution of Quantitative versus the Risk Matrix

3 Chapter 5EXHIBIT 5.2 Summary of the Four Horsemen

4 Chapter 6EXHIBIT 6.1 Example of the Risk of a Project Failure Expressed as a Vector Q...EXHIBIT 6.3 Example of Three Bets Considered Equivalent by a Decision-Maker

5 Chapter 7EXHIBIT 7.1 Sample Calibration Test with True/False Trivia Questions EXHIBIT 7.3 Sample Calibration Test with 90 Percent Confidence Interval* Que...

6 Chapter 8EXHIBIT 8.1 Likelihood Scale Proposed by the National Institute for Standards ...EXHIBIT 8.2 Impact Scale Proposed by the National Institute for Standards ...EXHIBIT 8.3 Variances in Understanding of Common Terms Used in the IPCC Repo...EXHIBIT 8.6 Examples of Impact Scale Partitions

7 Chapter 11EXHIBIT 11.2 LEC vs. Risk Tolerance

8 Chapter 12EXHIBIT 12.4 Some Available Monte Carlo Tools

9 Chapter 13EXHIBIT 13.2 Brier's Core Example for Forecasters

The Failure of Risk Management

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