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Determining Return on Investment
ОглавлениеReturn on investment (ROI) is a commonly used business metric that evaluates the profitability of an investment or effort compared with its original cost. This versatile metric is usually presented as a ratio or percentage (multiply the following equation by 100). The formula itself is deceptively simple:
ROI = (gain from investment – cost of investment) ÷ cost of investment
The devil is, as usual, in the details. The cost of an investment means more than cold, hard cash. Depending on the type of effort for which you’re computing ROI for an accurate picture, you may need to include the cost of labor (including your own!), subcontractors, fees, and advertising. When calculating ROI for your entire business, be sure to include overhead, cost of goods, and cost of sales.
You can affect ROI positively by either increasing the return (revenues) or reducing costs. That’s business in a nutshell.
Because the formula is flexible, be sure that you know what other people mean when they talk about ROI.
You can calculate ROI for a particular marketing campaign or product, or an entire year’s worth of marketing expenses. Or compare ROI among various forms of marketing, comparing the net revenue returned from an investment in social media to returns from SEO or paid advertising.
Run ROI calculations monthly, quarterly, or yearly, depending on the parameter you’re trying to measure.
Try the interactive ROI calculator at www.clickz.com/website-optimization-roi-calculator
, which is also shown in Figure 2-6. You can modify this model for social media by treating Monthly Site Visits as social media visits, Success Events as click-throughs to your main site, and Value of Success Events as the value of a sale. See what happens when you improve the business metric (the value of a sale) instead of, or in addition to, improving performance (site traffic or conversion rate).
Courtesy of ClickZ.com
FIGURE 2-6: Play around with variables, such as the value of a sale, and performance criteria.
ROI may be expressed as a rate of return (how long it takes to earn back an investment). An annual ROI of 25 percent means that it takes four years to recover what you put in. Obviously, if an investment takes too long to earn out, your product — or your business — is at risk of failing in the meantime.
If your analysis predicts a negative ROI, or even a very low rate of return over an extended period, stop and think! Unless you have a specific tactical plan (such as using a product as a loss leader to draw traffic), look for an alternative effort with a better likelihood of success.
Technically, ROI is a business metric, involving the achievement of business goals, such as more clicks from social media that become sales, higher average value per sale, more repeat sales from existing customers, or reduced cost of customer acquisition.
Many people try to calculate ROI for social media based on performance metrics such as increases in
The amount of traffic to website or social media pages
The number of online conversations that include a positive mention of your company
References to your company versus references to your competitors
The number of people who join your social networks or bookmark your sites
The number of people who post to your blog, comment on your Facebook page, or retweet your comments
These measurements may be worth monitoring, but they’re only intermediate steps in the ROI process, as shown in Figure 2-7.
Source: BrandBuilder, “Olivier Blanchard Basics of Social Media ROI”
FIGURE 2-7: The relationship between performance metrics and business metrics for ROI.
Here’s how to calculate your return on investment:
1 Establish baselines for what you want to measure before and after your effort.For example, you may want to measure year-over-year growth.
2 Create activity timelines that appear when specific social media marketing events take place.For example, mark an event on an activity timeline when you start a blog or Twitter campaign.
3 Plot business metrics over time, particularly sales revenues, number of transactions, and net new customers.
4 Measure transactional precursors, such as positive versus negative mentions online, retail store traffic, or performance metrics.For example, keep a tally of comments on a blog post or of site visits.
5 Line up the timelines for the various relevant activities and transactional (business) results.
6 Look for patterns in the data that suggest a relationship between business metrics and transactional precursors.
7 Prove those relationships.Try to predict results on the basis of the patterns you see, and monitor your data to see whether your predictions are accurate.
Improvement in performance metrics doesn’t necessarily produce better business results. The only two metrics that count toward ROI are whether your techniques reduce costs or improve revenue.