Читать книгу A Time Traveller's Guide to Our Next Ten Years - Frans Cronje - Страница 14

The seventh step is to identify important road signs and route markers along these highways to the future. These will show that we should turn one way or the other in order to reach a certain destination. U-turns are also possible, should the government start to run out of road in a specific direction. There will also be warning signs and even stop signs, where the economy runs out of steam. These road signs and route markers will provide us with much of the information we need to navigate our way into the future.

At the same time, we should bear in mind that trends do not act in isolation of one another. Rather, complex systems theory dictates that these trends, and the actors driving them, constantly interact with each other to produce results far greater than the sum of their parts. If one wants to use the scenario method, it is vital to understand how these trends interact, and what the results of that interaction may be.