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RETURNS FROM CROSS-BORDER M&A
ОглавлениеDoes all of this activity pay? The following points highlight the findings of 17 studies regarding the abnormal returns to shareholders at the announcement of cross-border acquisitions.
Returns to targets of foreign buyers. Exhibit 5.7 shows that returns to target shareholders are significantly positive. Two studies report that U.S. targets receive materially higher returns than do foreign targets. In five studies, returns of U.S. targets are higher with foreign buyers than domestic buyers. One study, by Dewenter (1995) yields the provocative suggestion that the difference in results between U.S. and foreign buyers could be due to differences in industrial profiles of the two groups of acquisitions—much more research is required here. Cross-sectional analyses suggest that returns to targets vary significantly by country, industry, and currency rates.
Returns to buyers of foreign targets. Exhibit 5.8 shows that returns to buyer shareholders are essentially zero. In four studies, U.S. buyers of foreign targets earn returns insignificantly different from zero. In 12 studies of returns to foreign buyers, one reports significantly negative returns, two report significantly positive returns, and the rest report returns insignificantly different from zero.
Joint wealth changes to buyers and targets. Exhibit 5.9 summarizes three studies that report positive joint wealth gains (two of them are significant) to shareholders of buyers and targets.
The total picture appears to be that cross-border M&A does pay. Consistent with the findings for U.S. domestic M&A reported in Chapter 3, targets earn large returns; buyers essentially break even; and on a combined basis, shareholders gain. We are left with the general impression that foreign bidders pay more than domestic bidders. Kohers and Kohers (2001) have argued that this premium represents payment for special local knowledge and market access that the target provides the foreign buyer.
EXHIBIT 5.7 Returns to Targets of Foreign Buyers
Study | Cumulative Abnormal Returns (% or avg$/acq) | Sample Size | Sample Period | Event Window (Days) | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conn, Connell (1990) | 0.1822* non-U.S. (DMM) 0.1984* non-U.S. (IMM) 0.3986* U.S. (DMM) 0.4331* U.S. (IMM) | 73 | 1971–1980 | –1,0 | “Non-U.S.” and “U.S.” indicate country of target firm. “IMM” indicates returns estimated using a market model with an international market index. “DMM” uses a domestic market index. |
Biswas et al. (1997) | 0.0623* all observations | 81 | 1977–1987 | –1,0 | Focus is non-U.S. targets and financial sector deals. |
0.0350* non-U.S. | 33 | ||||
0.0752* U.S. only | 48 | ||||
0.1069* U.S. domestic | N/A | ||||
Wansley et al. (1983) | 0.3864* target of foreign buyer | 39 | 1970–1978 | –40,0 | Focus is U.S. targets. |
0.2800* target of U.S. buyer Difference is significant at 5% level. | 164 | ||||
Shaked et al. (1991) | 0.168* foreign buyer | 29 | 1980–1983 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. targets. |
0.148* domestic buyer Difference is significant in oils, mining, and machinery. | 82 | ||||
Harris, Ravenscraft (1991) | 0.397* foreign buyers | 1,273 | 1970–1987 | –5,0 | Focus is U.S. targets. |
0.263* U.S. buyers | |||||
Marr et al. (1993) | 0.1182* foreign buyers 0.0627* U.S. buyers Difference is significant at 5% level. | 96 | 1975–1987 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. targets. |
Kang (1993) | 0.0907* Japanese buyers 0.0684 U.S. buyers Difference is not significant. | 102 | 1975–1988 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. targets. |
Pettway, Sicherman, Speiss, (1993) | 0.3700† | 10 | 1981–1991 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. targets of Japanese buyers. |
Servaes, Zenner (1994) | 0.3802* 1979–1980 0.1520* 1981–1986 0.4161* 1987–1988 | 779 | 1979–1988 | N/A | Focus is U.S. targets. |
Dewenter (1995) | Domestic acquisition premium is not significantly different from foreign acquisition premium. | 294 | 1978–1989 | N/A | Focus is U.S. targets. Looked at premiums unique to two industries, chemicals and retailing. Argued that observed differences in other studies were due to industry composition of samples. |
Eun, Kolodny, Scheraga (1996) | 0.3702* all observations 0.3715* Canadian buyers 0.4855* Japanese buyers 0.3555* U.K. buyers’ 0.3530* all other buyers | 213 | 1979–1990 | –5,0 | Focus is U.S. targets. |
Kiymaz, Mukherjee (2000) | Strong effects of currency and relative GNP growth rates of two countries. | 141 | 1982–1991 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. targets. |
Kuipers, Miller, Patel (2003) | +23.07%† $121.86 MM† | 181 | 1982–1991 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. targets. |
*Significant at the 95 percent confidence level.
†Significant at the 99 percent confidence level.
EXHIBIT 5.8 Returns to Buyers of Foreign Targets
Study | Cumulative Abnormal Returns (% or avg$/acq) | Sample Size | Sample Period | Event Window (Days) | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Conn, Connell (1990) | –0.0787* a non-U.S.(DMM) –0.0677* a non-U.S.(IMM) –0.025 U.S. (DMM) –0.026 U.S. (IMM) | 73 | 1971–1980 | –1,0 | “Non-U.S.” and “U.S.” indicate country of buyer firm. “IMM” indicates returns estimated using a market model with an international market index. “DMM” uses a domestic market index. |
Kang (1993) | 0.0059 Japanese buyers | 119 | 1975–1988 | –1,0 | Focus is non-U.S. buyers of U.S. targets. |
–0.029. U.S. buyers Difference is significant at 5%. | 102 | ||||
Mathur et al. (1994) | –0.0026 | 77 | 1984–1988 | –1,+1 | Focus is non-U.S. buyers of U.S. targets. |
Servaes, Zenner (1994) | 0.0044 takeovers 0.0005 units and minority interests | 70 | 1979–1988 | –1,0 | Focus is non-U.S. buyers of U.S. targets. |
Eun, Kolodny, Scheraga (1996) | –0.0120 all observations 0.0318 Canadian buyers 0.0362 Japanese buyers –0.0428 U.K. buyers –0.0046 all other buyers | 117 | 1979–1990 | –5,0 | Focus is non-U.S. buyers of U.S. targets. |
Cakici et al. (1996) | 0.0046* foreign bidder 0.0000 U.S. bidder | 195 | 1983–1992 | –1,0 | Focus is non-U.S. buyers of U.S. targets. |
Doukas, Travlos (1988) | 0.009 All observations –0.0003 operating in target’s country 0.011 not operating in target’s country 0.0199* going abroad first time | 301 | 1975–1983 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. buyers of foreign targets. |
Pettway, Sicherman, Speiss, (1993) | 0.0152† | 16 | 1981–1991 | –1,0 | Focus is Japanese buyers of U.S. targets. |
Markides, Ittner (1994) | 0.0032 all observations 0.0055 related acquisitions –0.0087 unrelated | 274 | 1975–1988 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. buyers of foreign targets. |
Yook, McCabe (1996) | 0.0046 all observations 0.0085 large acquisitions | 98 | 1979–1989 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. buyers of foreign targets. |
Biswas et al. (1997) | 0.00126 all observations 0.00277 U.S. buyer, foreign target 0.00015 foreign buyers, foreign targets –0.00399* U.S. buyer and target | 125 | 1977–1987 | –1,0 | Focus is buyers of foreign targets. |
Kiymaz, Mukherjee (2000) | Strong effects of monthly stock returns and relative GNP growth rates of two countries. | 112 | 1982–1991 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. buyers of foreign targets. |
Eckbo, Thorburn (2000) | –0.0030 U.S. buyers 0.0171 Canadian buyers | 390 1,261 | 1964–1983 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. and Canadian buyers of Canadian firms. |
Kuipers, Miller, Patel (2003) | –0.92% –$31.26MM | 138 | 1982–1991 | –1,0 | Focus is foreign acquirers of U.S. targets. |
*Significant at the 95 percent confidence level.
†Significant at the 99 percent confidence level.
EXHIBIT 5.9 Summary of Shareholder Return Studies for M&A: Combined Returns to Shareholders of Acquiring Firm and Target Firm
Study | Cumulative Abnormal Returns | Sample Size | Sample Period | Event Window (Days) | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eun, Kolodny, Scheraga (1996) | $68 million, average combined wealth changes. $398 million. | 117 | 1979–1990 | –5,0 | Focus is non-U.S. buyers and U.S. targets. |
Biswas et al. (1997) | $135.4 million, average combined wealth changes, international acquisitions; 3.39% as percentage of size. $2.04 million, domestic acquisitions; 2.02% as percentage of size. Both are significant at 5%. | 125 | 1977–1987 | –5,+5 | Focus is buyers of foreign targets. |
Kuipers, Miller, Patel (2003) | +2.99%* $121.86 MM† | 120 | 1982–1991 | –1,0 | Focus is U.S. targets and foreign acquirers. |
*Significant at 95 percent confidence level.
†Significant at 99 percent confidence level.