Читать книгу Climate Impacts on Sustainable Natural Resource Management - Группа авторов - Страница 21

Annual GHG emissions from 2000 to 2016 were divided into two periods for developing the baseline and REDD+ progress. The period to estimate a historical baseline of GHG emission trend before the commitment of REDD+ was from 2000 to 2010. The period to estimate the REDD+ progress of GHG emission trend after the commitment was from 2010 to 2016. The selection of 2010 as the base year was based on the official submission of Indonesia's commitment to the UNFCCC in 2010 (Indonesia 2013).

Both GHG emission baselines were then projected to estimate the future trajectories of GHG emissions in the target period of commitment. The target of Indonesia's commitment in 2030 (Indonesia, 2016) was considered to determine the final projection in this study. Some analytical tools can be used to predict the future trendlines in a possible downturn or upturn data by connecting many points on a graph. Understanding how to use the trendlines for predicting the trend in the future could help to reveal what might happen in the future. Both future trajectories of GHG emission were compared to measure the achievement of REDD+ progress in East Kalimantan for 2030.